by Tony Valente | Jan 8, 2025 | Uncategorized
At the start of 2024, market consensus widely predicted that the U.S. Federal Reserve would slash interest rates six times, with speculation rising to as many as seven cuts by mid-January. A recession, deemed imminent, was expected to drive this aggressive monetary...
by Tony Valente | Dec 3, 2024 | Uncategorized
The broad based USD, represented by the US dollar index has been up only since September 30th. It has been up for 8 straight weeks until last week. When the USD is up only it gets reffered to a “wrecking ball” and for good reason, it can have profound, often...
by Tony Valente | Nov 15, 2024 | Uncategorized
It’s time for a shift in the narrative. Back in August, the focus was on the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry-trade. After that, attention turned to China’s stimulus efforts to combat issues in its real estate and stock markets. Then, the spotlight was on the...
by Tony Valente | Oct 2, 2024 | Uncategorized
The long-anticipated move has finally happened— the Federal Reserve kicked off the monetary easing cycle with a larger-than-expected 50 basis point rate cut, instead of the predicted 25 bps. But that’s just the beginning. The updated Dot Plot now projects eight...
by Tony Valente | Sep 5, 2024 | Uncategorized
Signed, Sealed, To Be Delivered The U.S. dollar faced significant pressure in August, declining across the board. The magnitude of these moves suggests a shift in market sentiment. As shown in the daily chart of the U.S. dollar index above, the only reprieve came from...
