Bond’s Warning Sign

Bond’s Warning Sign

The U.S. jobs market remains robust, and uncertainty surrounding tariffs is causing the Federal Reserve to pause its actions. Meanwhile, most G10 central banks, except the Bank of Japan, are likely to cut rates before the Fed resumes easing. This should theoretically...
Liberation Day Aftermath

Liberation Day Aftermath

The opening words of last month’s letter couldn’t have been more fitting: “There’s no turning back now, and the rest of the world knows it.” The events that followed proved just how true that was. On April 2nd, “Liberation Day,” the...
Narrative Flip – Game Changer

Narrative Flip – Game Changer

There’s no turning back now, and the rest of the world knows it. The reciprocal tariffs set to be announced on Wednesday, April 2nd, won’t resolve uncertainty—they will merely mark the beginning. Whatever is unveiled will serve as the opening salvo of President...
Growth Scare

Growth Scare

The Japanese yen was the top-performing currency in February, appreciating by 3.05% due to a combination of rising Japanese interest rates and a decline in U.S. 10-year interest rates. As illustrated in the chart above, the USD weakened against the yen, dropping from...
Deep Tariff Uncertainty

Deep Tariff Uncertainty

The CAD was the weakest performer in January, pressured by a rate cut from the Bank of Canada and renewed tariff threats from President Trump. In contrast, Japan saw the opposite trend—the Bank of Japan raised interest rates, and the absence of U.S. tariff threats...