by Tony Valente | Dec 3, 2024 | Uncategorized
The broad based USD, represented by the US dollar index has been up only since September 30th. It has been up for 8 straight weeks until last week. When the USD is up only it gets reffered to a “wrecking ball” and for good reason, it can have profound, often...
by Tony Valente | Nov 15, 2024 | Uncategorized
It’s time for a shift in the narrative. Back in August, the focus was on the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry-trade. After that, attention turned to China’s stimulus efforts to combat issues in its real estate and stock markets. Then, the spotlight was on the...
by Tony Valente | Oct 2, 2024 | Uncategorized
The long-anticipated move has finally happened— the Federal Reserve kicked off the monetary easing cycle with a larger-than-expected 50 basis point rate cut, instead of the predicted 25 bps. But that’s just the beginning. The updated Dot Plot now projects eight...
by Tony Valente | Sep 5, 2024 | Uncategorized
Signed, Sealed, To Be Delivered The U.S. dollar faced significant pressure in August, declining across the board. The magnitude of these moves suggests a shift in market sentiment. As shown in the daily chart of the U.S. dollar index above, the only reprieve came from...
by Tony Valente | Aug 5, 2024 | Uncategorized
Setting the Stage At the beginning of July, I was contemplating how Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell would set the stage at the FOMC meeting on July 31st for a potential rate cut in September, without causing a significant rally in the equity markets or...
